The Myth of Busyness

Sale & Wodonga

CLICK ABOVE AND TRY US OUT!

Sale, 26th July 2026

Race 1, Maiden, Set Weights, 3yo & Up, 2200m

From A to I
Stable

Tab No. Historic Price

A $4.50
B $4.20
C 1 $4.50
D $4.00
E $4.80
F 3 $4.30
G $3.60
H $4.80
I 3 $3.60

Zyrg Says: (ZRR: 0.00)

Race 1 today is not a race that looks a investment opportunity to me. To be fair, the N3 looks to be the winner. $1.75 does not seem the right price. These plodders are inconsistent, therefore I have rated the race almost $6 the field. I may have an exacta with the roughest of the field, N6. If that arrives we have used the N3 to find value. The N4 for 3rd and the N1 will pick up another cheque and is not far off cracking the 150k in prize money mark, sheesh.

3 - Rainy Night

6 - Now Perform

4 - Smart Moves

1 - Clydebank Robber

Lev
TAB
No.
Price Wanted

Invest
Amount
3 $5.60 $5.40
6 $6.00 $5.00
4 $6.70 $4.50
8 $6.80 $4.50
2 $7.50 $4.00
1 $8.00 $3.80
Total $27.20
Zyrg Exotics
Type For 1st
For 2nd
For 3rd
Quinella 3,6
Exacta 3 4,8
Trifecta 3 4,6 1,4,6
Last Handful - Sale, Open Mdn, 2200m, S7 - H8 Prep Race Type Distance Los. Mgn SP
21-Aug-22 S7 A Votre Sante Billy Egan Patrick Payne $2.15 Other Open Mdn 2000 4.75 $1.95
7-Jul-23 S7 Nefertiti's Secret D Stackhouse M & L Kavanagh $2.60 Other Open Mdn 2200 4.00 $3.50
12-Jun-25 S7 Chaussette Ben Allen Michael Kent $3.50 Other Open Mdn 2000 8.07 $3.80
7-Jul-25 H8 Filadeel Thomas Stockdale Ciaron Maher $1.55 Other Open Mdn 2200 1.75 $6.00
31-Jul-25 S7 Izola Beau Mertens Chris Waller $9.50 Other Open Mdn 2100 7.70 $7.50

Sale, 26th July 2026

Race 2, Maiden, Set Weights, 2yo & Up, 1400m

From A to I
Stable

Tab No. Historic Price

A 11 $4.50
B 11 $4.20
C 9 $4.50
D 11 $4.00
E 11 $4.80
F 9 $4.30
G 9 $3.60
H $4.80
I 9 $3.60

Zyrg Says: (ZRR: 0.32)

Race 2, the 1400m of this race looks perfect for the return appearance of the N9 today. Had strong maiden form last prep. and the run before being put away was a ripper. I think it just has far more ability than any of today’s rivals. The selection for second is the N11. A very nice run here 2 starts back caught the eye and it was even last start in town. The N13 was well liked in a strong maiden on debut. Should go well and the N12 looks to be the best of the rest.

9 - Talkin’Stern

11 - Diamond Eye

13 - Rose of Churchill

12 - No Savings

Lev
TAB
No.
Price Wanted

Invest
Amount
9 $2.00 $15.00
13 $3.90 $7.70
16 $17.90 $1.70
12 $24.60 $1.30
11 $24.60 $1.30
14
Total $27.00
Zyrg Exotics
Type For 1st
For 2nd
For 3rd
Quinella 9,11
Exacta 9 13
Trifecta 9 11,13 11,12,13,16
Last Handful - Sale, Open Mdn, 1400m, S7 - H8 Prep Race Type Distance Los. Mgn SP
21-Aug-22 S7 Gun Show Billy Egan Rachael Frost $12.00 Other Open Mdn 1430 6.50 $26.00
12-Jun-25 S7 House of Lords Ben Allen Peter Gelagotis $2.40 SU Open Mdn 1300 1.50 $11.00
7-Jul-25 H8 Shidan Emily Pozman Adele Garraway $10.00 SU 3yo Mdn 1200 7.11 $15.00
29-Mar-26 S7 Boomeroo D Stackhouse A & S Freedman $3.20 SU Open Mdn 1312 4.50 $9.50
10-Jun-26 H8 Tisseyre Ben Allen K & K Keys $4.00 FU F&M Mdn 1600 0.75 $1.60

Sale, 25th July 2026

Race 4, Maiden, Set Weights, 2yo & Up, 1100m

From A to I
Stable

Tab No. Historic Price

A 2 $4.50
B 2 $4.20
C 8 $4.50
D $4.00
E 11 $4.80
F 2 $4.30
G 7 $3.60
H $4.80
I 2 $3.60

Zyrg Says: (ZRR: 0.14)

Race 4 my quinella selections here, the N2 from the N8 both come out of the same race. Both faded slightly near the post and allowed the winner to go by. They should fight the finish out today provided they do not go too hard against each other in the lead. From the draw, N2 should get the easier run. The N7 returns and could sprint well today. It could b another in a race from the front. If it gets a start, I feel they will ride the N20 quieter today and if so, it could improve and have the drop on the abovementioned three.

2 - Bemm River

8 - Winsilence

7 - Watten Asset

20 - Absent

Lev
TAB
No.
Price Wanted

Invest
Amount
2 $2.40 $12.50
8 $3.90 $7.70
17 $13.20 $2.30
20 $21.60 $1.40
12 $29.80 $1.10
7 $29.80 $1.10
Total $26.10
Zyrg Exotics
Type For 1st
For 2nd
For 3rd
Quinella 2,20
Exacta 2 7,8
Trifecta 2,8 2,7,8 2,7,8,17,20
Last Handful - Sale, Open Mdn, 1100m, S7 - H8 Prep Race Type Distance Los. Mgn SP
6-Mar-22 H8 Ourlink Ben Allen Gavin Bedggood $4.40 SU Open Mdn 1000 6.25 $14.00
12-Jun-25 S7 Bossy Star Ben Allen Matt Laurie $2.20 SU Open Mdn 1105 1.10 $4.40
7-Jul-25 H8 Till Dusk Thomas Stockdale John Price $12.00 SU Open Mdn 1000 2.85 $11.00
31-Jul-25 S7 Semelle Rouge Beau Mertens Mick Price $2.90 FS FS FS FS FS
29-Mar-26 S7 Alleviate Jordan Childs Danny O'Brien $3.80 SU 3yo F Mdn 1206 2.90 $4.40

Wodonga, 26th June 2026

Race 1, Maiden, Set Weights, 2yo & Up, 1590m

From A to I
Stable

Tab No. Historic Price

A 3 $4.50
B 3 $4.20
C 1 $4.50
D 3 $4.00
E $4.80
F 3 $4.30
G 3 $3.60
H $4.80
I 2 $3.60

Zyrg Says: (ZRR: 0.70)

Race 1 and the only way the N3 does not win here is if it has soured so much it finishes last. Nothing in between. I reckon it has this run in it and then they turn it out. The N2 is the moral to be the runner up. Try and make winning investments around them, I will be using the N5 & the N1.

3 - The Quite Immortal

2 - Meka Vibe

5 - Bidu

1 - Boss Boy

Lev
TAB
No.
Price Wanted

Invest
Amount
3 $2.50 $12.00
2 $2.80 $10.80
5 $11.00 $2.80
8 $15.80 $1.90
1 $23.00 $1.40
7
Total $28.90
Zyrg Exotics
Type For 1st
For 2nd
For 3rd
Quinella 2,3
Exacta 3 2
Trifecta 3 2 1,5
Last Handful - Wodonga, Open Mdn, 1590m, S7 - H8 Prep Race Type Distance Los. Mgn SP
14-Aug-21 S7 Dress Code Patrick Moloney J & C Ledger $17.00 Other Open Mdn 2100 5.30 $12.00
11-Jul-21 H8 Fantasia's Choice Lewis German Mark Thomas $5.00 Other Open Mdn 1400 8.60 $61.00
5-Sep-22 S7 Stipulator Tahlia Hope Daryn Drust $7.00 SU Open Mdn 1600 7.60 $151.00
4-Aug-24 S7 Impact a Lot Blaike McDougall Adian McGregor $4.20 SU Open mdn 1400 7.50 $20.00
5-Aug-25 H8 Top Secret Jett Stanley Waterhouse & Bott $1.30 Other Open Mdn 1600 0.06 $3.80

Wodonga, 26th July 2026

Race 2, Maiden, Set Weights, 2yo & Up, 1200m

From A to I
Stable

Tab No. Historic Price

A 1 $4.50
B $4.20
C 2 $4.50
D $4.00
E $4.80
F 2 $4.30
G 2 $3.60
H 1 $4.80
I 2 $3.60

Zyrg Says: (ZRR: 0.08)

Race 2 and the N2 returns to the track after an honest and promising initial prep. If it has maintained that level of ability while spelling, a first up win is on the cards, there is not a lot to take it on here. The N1 let backers down at its last run but if it can find the form of two starts back, it must have some hope. Second for me. The N8 started fave upon its return, disappointed, but will be fitter today. I have put the N10 in for fourth, on debut, good stable and a couple of even lookings jumpouts. I do like the N2.

2 - Masakari

1 - Galagacisco

8 - Frosted Miss

10 - Princess Zousain

Lev
TAB
No.
Price Wanted

Invest
Amount
2 $3.10 $9.70
8 $5.80 $5.20
1 $10.90 $2.80
15 $15.40 $2.00
12 $15.40 $2.00
10 $16.20 $1.90
Total $23.60
Zyrg Exotics
Type For 1st
For 2nd
For 3rd
Quinella 1,2
Exacta 2,8
Trifecta 2 1,8 1,8,10,12,15
Last Handful - Wodonga, Open Mdn, 1200m, S7 - H10 Prep Race Type Distance Los. Mgn SP
11-Jul-21 H8 Book of Marvels Jake Duffy J & C Ledger $4.20 FU Open Mdn 1600 7.40 $151.00
6-Aug-23 H10 Overhymn Lachlan King Shane Nichols $2.60 FU 3yo F Mdn 1200 1.95 $4.60
6-Aug-23 H10 Patchouli Dream Josh Richards Ben Brisbourne $1.70 Other F&M Mdn 1000 0.35 $2.20
4-Aug-24 S7 Bernay Lachlan King Ben Brisbourne $7.00 Other Open Mdn 1000 0.54 $2.80
Stable Performance May 2026
Stable Races Wins W% Top 3 T3% Top 4 T4%
A 33 7 21% 16 48% 21 64%
B 10 1 10% 8 80% 8 80%
C 99 32 32% 60 61% 68 69%
D 26 9 35% 17 65% 19 73%
E 39 5 13% 18 46% 24 62%
F 106 29 27% 58 55% 71 67%
G 84 22 26% 51 61% 60 71%
H 29 5 17% 13 45% 16 55%
I 108 33 31% 66 61% 74 69%

Stable News

Here are the Stable results for May 2026. Stable C was the big improver, saluting in just a tad under 33%. It paid some good prices as well.

Stable E is under the pump. Most of its data is now assessed and may come as a selection in either Stable A or Stable B. While Stable B has a poor win record is must be noted that Stable B is the literalll second selection for Stable A. There is only a Stable B selection in about 10% of races. It did have a Top 3 success rate of 80% in May, 51% Top 3 for the Season to Date.

It is now 24 months that I have been developing a new stable based on the Zyrg Race Rating, a number you will now see in the Zyrg Says: comments for each race. If Stable E gets the flick and is replaced by the new Stable will be decided in June.

Stable Performance June 2026
Stable Races Wins W% Top 3 T3% Top 4 T4%
A 26 8 31% 14 54% 20 77%
B 8 1 13% 4 50% 5 63%
C 54 12 22% 28 52% 32 59%
D 19 0 0% 5 20 11 58%
E 11 3 27% 7 5 7 64%
F 55 13 24% 26 32 36 65%
G 44 13 30% 19 11 25 57%
H 12 2 17% 5 7 9 75%
I 53 16 30% 29 36 38 72%

Stable result for June 2026

Field Sizes

The Tables below show the average number of runners over distance from 1000m to 1600m.

They are for Open Maidens only.

They are for the tracks in each distance where the most (top 13) total races have been ran.

I am assuming that Cranbourne & Pakenham rate low as they are tracks with a lesser circumference and skinnier track than others. Just assuming that this is why these tracks were chosen to have lights installed. I have NOT checked for differences between day meetings and night meetings at these tracks.

Rank Track - 1000m Races Avge. Field Size
1 Echuca 21 10.43
2 Warracknabeal 26 10.27
3 Moe 25 10.12
4 Seymour 23 10.04
5 Yarra Valley 28 9.86
6 Swan Hill 41 9.80
7 Bairnsdale 27 9.78
8 Bendigo 32 9.75
9 Pakenham 26 9.15
10 Warrnambool 27 8.81
11 Cranbourne 53 8.57
12 Mornington 36 8.50
13 Ballarat 24 7.88
Rank Track - 1100m Races Avge. Field Size
1 Wangaratta 21 11.00
2 Wodonga 30 10.67
3 Echuca 17 10.65
4 Kilmore 22 10.00
5 Moe 27 9.96
6 Werribee 20 9.95
7 Bendigo 31 9.81
8 Warrnambool 22 9.73
9 Kyneton 28 9.68
10 Stawell 45 9.47
11 Ararat 22 9.32
12 Geelong 45 8.98
13 Ballarat 17 8.71
Rank Track - 1200m Races Avge. Field Size
1 Swan Hill 29 11.21
2 Echuca 35 10.97
3 Benalla 31 10.97
4 Moe 42 10.67
5 Warracknabeal 42 10.48
6 Kyneton 30 10.40
7 Geelong 54 10.30
8 Warrnambool 33 10.21
9 Mornington 40 9.90
10 Pakenham 32 9.63
11 Cranbourne 40 9.55
12 Pakenham 31 9.52
13 Ballarat 39 9.08
Rank Track - 1300m Races Avge. Field Size
1 Swan Hill 23 11.96
2 Wangaratta 15 11.87
3 Seymour 14 11.50
4 Ararat 28 11.39
5 Warrnambool 11 11.36
6 Stawell 14 10.93
7 Wodonga 12 10.75
8 Echuca 18 10.56
9 Mildura 2 10.50
10 Bendigo 35 10.34
11 Geelong 37 10.24
12 Cranbourne 33 9.97
13 Avoca 10 9.70
Rank Track - 1400m Races Avge. Field Size
1 Hamilton 29 11.72
2 Echuca 40 11.65
3 Wangaratta 38 11.58
4 Benalla 36 11.36
5 Bendigo 35 11.34
6 Geelong 43 11.12
7 Warrnambool 36 11.08
8 Horsham 29 10.97
9 Sale 48 10.94
10 Werribee 35 10.29
11 Ballarat 36 10.28
12 Cranbourne 52 10.19
13 Pakenham 79 10.06
Rank Track - 1500m Races Avge. Field Size
1 Edenhope 5 11.00
2 Geelong 29 10.28
3 Mornington 39 9.97
4 Tatura 8 9.88
5 Yarra Valley 22 9.82
6 Sale 5 9.80
7 Bendigo 16 9.69
8 Kilmore 38 9.34
9 Kyneton 43 9.26
10 Cranbourne 9 9.11
11 Ballarat 12 9.08
12
13
Rank Track - 1300m Races Avge. Field Size
1 Swan Hill 23 11.96
2 Wangaratta 15 11.87
3 Seymour 14 11.50
4 Ararat 28 11.39
5 Warrnambool 11 11.36
6 Stawell 14 10.93
7 Wodonga 12 10.75
8 Echuca 18 10.56
9 Mildura 2 10.50
10 Bendigo 35 10.34
11 Geelong 37 10.24
12 Cranbourne 33 9.97
13 Avoca 10 9.70

Racing Coverage

BRING BACK THE HESSIAN SACK

The coverage of horse racing is in a very sad state. The name of the sport gives it away, the first word is horse, yet the horse(s) is/are the forgotten participants except for the more than casual punter for whom the coverage gives little. Or too much superfluous information.

I thought the coverage may improve once we got over Cup week, but alas, no. I follow the country racing and the coverage of Dunkeld last Saturday may well have been promoted as “Olivia’s Big Day Out”.

I am going to assume for this rant that people may watch the actual races on their mobile device. I doubt many people watch the parade and the lead up to a race on their ‘phone. If they do, they may have just found one reason their punting account balance keeps declining.

Most serious punters would watch the races on some large screen television or projected screen. The size of some televisions scares me.

Most money is on the first four horses in the market, yet in the parade ring, those four runners are gIven as much time as No.18, Ihavenohope, that is paying $201 on fixed odds. Why don’t we have all horses covered as is, but have a Picture in Picture, during the entire parade, of the three or four most favoured runners? Put the PIPs across the top of the screen at the bottom of the screen or down the side, I do not care just keep vision of these runners on the screen until they get to the barriers. They are the first four favorites for a reason, weight of money, that is the weight of the punters money and therefore the four horses that the weight of punters wish to observe.

Next, behind the barriers and this applies more to country tracks than to metropolitan courses, but, how hard is to put a camera(s) behind the barriers at all tracks? I would assume that even hiring some scaffolding for the day would be cost effective. There are not than many starting positions at most country tracks.

Even the race callers would love this. How many times do you hear a caller say that they cannot see what is happening behind (or in) the barriers? Plenty. And here is a thought, why not have this new cameraman wired up so they can communicate with the caller and tell him/her what is going on. Maybe we can find camerapeople who have some presentation skills and they could even be put to air telling the punters what they can see. Conversely, teach some of the spokemodels some camera operating skills and send them down there,

Still with country racing and especially at this time of year when we visit many of the once or twice of year courses. Personally, I would take the machete to the number of race tracks in Victoria but as we are currently stuck with them, let’s do something about the coverage. That is when there is coverage. Racing.com cannot seem to cope with 4 meetings of a Saturday so one of the provincial/country meetings gets zero coverage.

It is television and most punters can see. We don’t need a thousand presenters. More races and less talking is what I want.

Even some of the oft used courses have a load of trees inside the course, the caller cannot see the runners, the viewer/punter cannot see the horses and the chyron that supposedly tracks the horses place in the running is a conversation of its own.

Surely in this day and age there is a qualified, professional drone operator who could follow the race from a reasonable height? Is this another of the “insurance” risks that race clubs face? Or is it a fear of  “in play” Betfair traders?

Don’t get me started on “lightening in the area”.

Even if it is not a drone is it possible to string some wires along the back straight and have some “spider cam” action. Keep the poles and remove the wires if this creates a hazard (struck by lightening!) at other times.

Another solution could be one of those aforementioned scaffolds erected, with camera person in place, along the back of the track, either inside or outside the track.

But no, just leave it as it is and employ another talking head.

The latest directors fancy seems to be showing the runners from behind, from Flemington to Dunkeld to everywhere in between. This pointless if we cannot see the colors. Can someone explain to the director that the reason jockeys wear different colored silks is for identification. Lookimg at the jockey’s arse helps little with this. Callers please note here: There is no point telling the viewer that different cap colors are being worn if you do not tell us what colors they are making a difference to.

Has anyone ever spoken to the Australia wide programmers and asked or tried to talk about start times? On Saturdays, why do the Melbourne Metro, the South Australian meeting and the Vic. provincial go back to back? The race finishes in Melbourne, straight to Adelaie without results and then straight to Donald.

Now, after the race has been run and won.

Why do we need to see a shed load of replays from artsy, fartsy angles, after the race, when,

  • We are waiting for the numbers to be announced/shown

  • We are waiting for the result of a photo finish, (here’s an idea, show a replay and freeze frame of the actual finish of the placing in question).

  • Display the totes as soon as possible, (8 minutes it took the other day).

  • Put the totes on the screen and not in that interminable ribbon at the bottom. There is ample empty space on the screen.

  • All that is needed is one tote and your selected operators Fixed price.

  • If they continue with the ribbon, put the First Four divvy before the Duets. I have never known anyone who bets in Duets.  

I need someone to explain to me the point of having a chyron running at the bottom of the screen that supposedly tells you the horses position in running? Why do we need all the other superfluous information on the screen like how many metres they have gone etc.,

The broadcaster should be teaching new punters about the colours of the silks that the jockeys are wearing rather than using a highly inaccurate chyron. The chyron can go an entire race without once displaying the correct order. Pointless and distracting.

The visual assumes the punters DO not know the colors, yet then confuse the watcher with an incorrect display.

The caller assumes the punter DO NOT know the colors as they will tell all and sundry that one jockey is wearing a black cap to distinguish it from another wearing a red cap. Most times they do not tell the viewers the actual silk colors the different caps are differentiating.

And finally for this rant, can the Race Clubs, Broadcaster and Stewards get together and cover up all the distance markers that are not in use for that days racing? I watched a race the other day that went past 4 different 1600m markers and 3 different 1400m markers, etc. Bring back the hessian sack.  

I have stopped listening to the wireless. Beyond redemption.

Non competitive Racing

Is it less expensive to keep a horse in training than to retire it?

I ask this question as the amount of distance maidens that are contested in Victoria borders on the ridiculous. I would also go as far as this continued process of propping up horses (and connections) that will never win one race let alone go on to better things could bring a charge of bring disrepute to the industry.

The Prize Money allocated to these races could well be better utilised but first some facts.

The horse I have looked at for this exercise has had 50 starts for zero, nil, zilch wins.  It has been placed second on 6 occasions and placed third in a further 10 races. Let’s call him Clive. Clive is a 7 year old gelding.

Clive has won, with bonuses, 149,418 AUD in prize money. Yes, a non winner has won just shy of 150,000 AUD.

Clive had 17 starts in 2025 and ran second 5 times with two thirds as well a number of fourths and fifth and among his best performances.

Clive generally races near the lead but on occasions gets out the back. When he leads he generally gets bloused on the post and when ridden “quieter” storms home to just miss.

Clive, and he has a few mates in these distance maidens, wants to win but I think those who look after him, don’t want to win. Why would they?

And I do not blame the connections, they are playing the game that has been offered to them.

If Clive wins a race he will never win again and the gravy train will come to an end. There are not enough BM 56’s to make money running a placing every second or third start. At the BM52 level the prize money is probably insufficient to stay in the black.

The prize money for maidens is paid down to 10th placing. Fourth gets $1,600 AUD

These races are bringing disrepute to the racing game.

BTW, Clive trialed recently in anticipation of another return to the race track. Guess where Clive finished in the trial? Yes, second.

And in a final update, Clive returns to competitive racing on Sunday (scratched).

 

Confirmation Bias

One of the biggest traps that any punter can fall into is having and punting based on, mostly unconscious, Confirmation Bias and by Dog it’s difficult to shake. We can go to the interweb and find out the real definition and it is,

“Confirmation bias is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms or supports one's prior beliefs or values. People display this bias when they select information that supports their views, ignoring contrary information, or when they interpret ambiguous evidence as supporting their existing attitudes”.

On most Saturdays, on X and other social media forums you will see racing’s biggest form of confirmation bias and it is nasty. The punter who thinks every selection he makes will win and when it does not, it is time to turn on the jockey.

During winter it will be the avid (feral) footy fan who reckons every ref/umpire call went against their team.

 

But the most over rated, over spruiked and downright incorrect piece of confirmation bias is the the roughie wins in small fields. Have a listen to your radio or television presenter next time a roughie wins in a small field, they will spruik this without fail.

Because it actually happens so rarely, people remember being told it and then waste their punting dough backing the hessian in the next few small fields they encounter.

I only have data on Maiden races but I am sure other classes in horse racing would follow similar trends (maybe my own confirmation bias) so here is some data to chew on.

 

Since March 2020, I have records for 308 races where there have been between 4 and 7 runners.

Of those 308 races, there has been 28 races (9%) where the winner has paid $11.00 or longer. Now that would be a good stat if there had of been only the 1 starter that started $11.00 or longer. However, of the 2042 runners that contested the 308 races, 929 or 45% of them had a SP of $11 or greater,

Now, of those 28 winners,

3 winners were the longest priced runners, they were priced at $16, $16 & $17

8 winners were the second longest priced runner in the race

9 winners were the third longest priced runner in the race

7 winners were the fourth longest priced runner in the race

1 winner was the fifth longest priced runner in the race, this runner was actually the second favourite.

 

So, next time you hear someone tell you to back the burlap sack in a field containing only a few runners you can now confirm that this is not true, it is incorrect, total hogwash.

 

Now excuse me while I go and read my horoscope.

More on Confirmation Bias on the punt.